{"id":5524,"date":"2026-09-21T01:08:10","date_gmt":"2026-09-20T17:08:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.15zhi.net\/blog\/?p=5524"},"modified":"2026-09-21T01:08:10","modified_gmt":"2026-09-20T17:08:10","slug":"202609-%e8%ae%ba%e6%96%87%e7%a0%94%e8%af%bb-meta-transformer-leveraging-metaheuristic-algorithms-for-agricultural-commodity-price-forecasting","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.15zhi.net\/blog\/202609-%e8%ae%ba%e6%96%87%e7%a0%94%e8%af%bb-meta-transformer-leveraging-metaheuristic-algorithms-for-agricultural-commodity-price-forecasting\/","title":{"rendered":"202609 \u8bba\u6587\u7814\u8bfb-Meta-transformer: leveraging metaheuristic algorithms for agricultural commodity price forecasting"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>\u4f5c\u8005\uff1aG. H. Harish Nayak\uff1bMd. Wasi Alam\uff1bB. Samuel Naik\uff1bB. S. Varshini\uff1bG. Avinash\uff1bRajeev Ranjan Kumar\uff1bMrinmoy Ray\uff1bK. N. Singh<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u6765\u6e90\uff1a<em>Journal of Big Data<\/em>\uff0cVolume 12\uff0cArticle 138\uff082025\uff09<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u65f6\u95f4\uff1a2025\u5e745\u670831\u65e5<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u5355\u4f4d\uff1aICAR-Indian Agricultural Research Institute\uff1bUniversity of Agricultural Sciences\uff1bBanaras Hindu University\uff1bICMR-National Institute of Occupational Health<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-large-font-size\"><strong>\u4e00\u3001\u7814\u7a76\u80cc\u666f<\/strong><strong><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u519c\u4e1a\u5546\u54c1\u4ef7\u683c\u53d7\u5230\u5b63\u8282\u6027\u3001\u4f9b\u9700\u53d8\u5316\u3001\u6c14\u5019\u6761\u4ef6\u4ee5\u53ca\u5e02\u573a\u6ce2\u52a8\u7b49\u591a\u79cd\u56e0\u7d20\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u4ef7\u683c\u5e8f\u5217\u901a\u5e38\u5177\u6709\u8f83\u5f3a\u7684\u975e\u7ebf\u6027\u548c\u590d\u6742\u6027\u3002\u4f20\u7edf\u7edf\u8ba1\u6a21\u578b\u5728\u5904\u7406\u590d\u6742\u975e\u7ebf\u6027\u5173\u7cfb\u65f6\u5b58\u5728\u4e00\u5b9a\u5c40\u9650\uff0c\u800cANN\u3001LSTM\u3001SVM\u7b49\u673a\u5668\u5b66\u4e60\u548c\u6df1\u5ea6\u5b66\u4e60\u6a21\u578b\u867d\u7136\u80fd\u591f\u5b66\u4e60\u4ef7\u683c\u5e8f\u5217\u4e2d\u7684\u975e\u7ebf\u6027\u89c4\u5f8b\uff0c\u4f46\u6a21\u578b\u6027\u80fd\u5f80\u5f80\u4f9d\u8d56\u4e8e\u8d85\u53c2\u6570\u8bbe\u7f6e\uff0c\u4eba\u5de5\u8c03\u53c2\u4e0d\u4ec5\u8017\u65f6\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u96be\u4ee5\u4fdd\u8bc1\u83b7\u5f97\u8f83\u4f18\u7684\u53c2\u6570\u7ec4\u5408\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Transformer\u5229\u7528\u81ea\u6ce8\u610f\u529b\u673a\u5236\u80fd\u591f\u6355\u6349\u65f6\u95f4\u5e8f\u5217\u4e2d\u4e0d\u540c\u65f6\u95f4\u6b65\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u4f9d\u8d56\u5173\u7cfb\uff0c\u5728\u5904\u7406\u957f\u671f\u4f9d\u8d56\u95ee\u9898\u65b9\u9762\u5177\u6709\u4e00\u5b9a\u4f18\u52bf\uff0c\u4f46\u5176\u9884\u6d4b\u6548\u679c\u540c\u6837\u53d7\u5230\u6ce8\u610f\u529b\u5934\u6570\u91cf\u3001\u7f51\u7edc\u5c42\u6570\u3001\u5b66\u4e60\u7387\u3001\u6279\u5927\u5c0f\u7b49\u8d85\u53c2\u6570\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u672c\u6587\u63d0\u51fa\u5c06Transformer\u4e0e\u5143\u542f\u53d1\u5f0f\u4f18\u5316\u7b97\u6cd5\u76f8\u7ed3\u5408\uff0c\u901a\u8fc7PSO\u3001GWO\u548cWOA\u81ea\u52a8\u641c\u7d22Transformer\u7684\u8d85\u53c2\u6570\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u51cf\u5c11\u4eba\u5de5\u8c03\u53c2\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u5e76\u63d0\u9ad8\u519c\u4e1a\u5546\u54c1\u4ef7\u683c\u9884\u6d4b\u7684\u51c6\u786e\u6027\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-large-font-size\"><strong>\u4e8c\u3001\u6838\u5fc3\u8d21\u732e<\/strong><strong><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u672c\u6587\u63d0\u51fa\u4e86Meta-Transformer\u6846\u67b6\uff0c\u5c06Transformer\u7684\u65f6\u95f4\u5e8f\u5217\u5efa\u6a21\u80fd\u529b\u4e0e\u5143\u542f\u53d1\u5f0f\u7b97\u6cd5\u7684\u53c2\u6570\u641c\u7d22\u80fd\u529b\u76f8\u7ed3\u5408\u3002\u4f5c\u8005\u5206\u522b\u91c7\u7528\u7c92\u5b50\u7fa4\u4f18\u5316\uff08PSO\uff09\u3001\u7070\u72fc\u4f18\u5316\uff08GWO\uff09\u548c\u9cb8\u9c7c\u4f18\u5316\uff08WOA\uff09\u5bf9Transformer\u7684\u5173\u952e\u8d85\u53c2\u6570\u8fdb\u884c\u81ea\u52a8\u641c\u7d22\uff0c\u6700\u7ec8\u6784\u5efaTransformer-PSO\u3001Transformer-GWO\u548cTransformer-WOA\u4e09\u79cd\u6a21\u578b\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u672c\u6587\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u8d21\u732e\u53ef\u4ee5\u6982\u62ec\u4e3a\uff1a<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>\u5c06Transformer\u5e94\u7528\u4e8e\u519c\u4e1a\u5546\u54c1\u4ef7\u683c\u9884\u6d4b\uff0c\u5229\u7528\u81ea\u6ce8\u610f\u529b\u673a\u5236\u6355\u6349\u4ef7\u683c\u5e8f\u5217\u4e2d\u7684\u957f\u671f\u4f9d\u8d56\u5173\u7cfb\u3002<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>\u5229\u7528PSO\u3001GWO\u548cWOA\u81ea\u52a8\u4f18\u5316Transformer\u8d85\u53c2\u6570\uff0c\u51cf\u5c11\u4f20\u7edf\u4eba\u5de5\u8c03\u53c2\u7684\u5de5\u4f5c\u91cf\u3002<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>\u57285\u4e2a\u5370\u5ea6\u5317\u90e8\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u9a6c\u94c3\u85af\u5468\u4ef7\u683c\u6570\u636e\u4e0a\u8fdb\u884c\u5b9e\u9a8c\uff0c\u5e76\u4e0eGARCH\u3001ANN\u3001SVM\u3001LSTM\u548c\u666e\u901aTransformer\u8fdb\u884c\u6bd4\u8f83\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u9a8c\u8bc1\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u9884\u6d4b\u6027\u80fd\u3002\u884c\u6bd4\u8f83\uff0c\u7ed3\u679c\u8868\u660e\u4f18\u5316\u540e\u7684Transformer\u6574\u4f53\u5177\u6709\u66f4\u597d\u7684\u9884\u6d4b\u8868\u73b0\u3002<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-large-font-size\"><strong>\u4e09\u3001\u7814\u7a76\u65b9\u6cd5<\/strong><strong><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u9996\u5148\u5bf9\u5386\u53f2\u9a6c\u94c3\u85af\u4ef7\u683c\u6570\u636e\u8fdb\u884c\u9884\u5904\u7406\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u4f7f\u7528Kalman\u5e73\u6ed1\u65b9\u6cd5\u5904\u7406\u7f3a\u5931\u503c\uff0c\u5e76\u4f7f\u7528Min-Max\u65b9\u6cd5\u8fdb\u884c\u5f52\u4e00\u5316\u3002\u968f\u540e\u5c06\u8fde\u7eed\u7684\u5386\u53f2\u4ef7\u683c\u6570\u636e\u8f6c\u6362\u4e3a\u76d1\u7763\u5b66\u4e60\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u5373\u5229\u7528\u8fc7\u53bb\u4e00\u6bb5\u65f6\u95f4\u7684\u4ef7\u683c\u4f5c\u4e3a\u8f93\u5165\uff0c\u672a\u6765\u4ef7\u683c\u4f5c\u4e3a\u9884\u6d4b\u76ee\u6807\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u5728\u6a21\u578b\u90e8\u5206\uff0c\u9996\u5148\u5efa\u7acbTransformer\uff0c\u901a\u8fc7\u81ea\u6ce8\u610f\u529b\u673a\u5236\u5b66\u4e60\u5386\u53f2\u4ef7\u683c\u5e8f\u5217\u4e2d\u4e0d\u540c\u65f6\u95f4\u6b65\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u5173\u7cfb\u3002\u5728\u6b64\u57fa\u7840\u4e0a\uff0c\u5229\u7528PSO\u3001GWO\u548cWOA\u5bf9Transformer\u7684\u8d85\u53c2\u6570\u8fdb\u884c\u641c\u7d22\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u6ce8\u610f\u529b\u5934\u6570\u91cf\u3001Transformer\u6a21\u5757\u6570\u91cf\u3001\u9690\u85cf\u5c42\u89c4\u6a21\u3001\u5b66\u4e60\u7387\u3001\u6279\u5927\u5c0f\u3001\u8bad\u7ec3\u8f6e\u6570\u3001\u6fc0\u6d3b\u51fd\u6570\u548c\u4f18\u5316\u5668\u7b49\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u4e09\u79cd\u4f18\u5316\u7b97\u6cd5\u7b80\u4ecb<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>1. \u7c92\u5b50\u7fa4\u4f18\u5316\u7b97\u6cd5\uff08PSO\uff0cParticle Swarm Optimization\uff09<\/strong><br>PSO\u6a21\u62df\u9e1f\u7fa4\u6216\u9c7c\u7fa4\u7684\u7fa4\u4f53\u641c\u7d22\u884c\u4e3a\uff0c\u5c06\u6bcf\u4e00\u4e2a\u7c92\u5b50\u770b\u4f5c\u4e00\u4e2a\u5019\u9009\u89e3\u3002\u5728\u672c\u6587\u4e2d\uff0c\u4e00\u4e2a\u7c92\u5b50\u5bf9\u5e94\u4e00\u7ec4Transformer\u8d85\u53c2\u6570\uff0c\u7c92\u5b50\u6839\u636e\u81ea\u8eab\u5386\u53f2\u6700\u4f18\u4f4d\u7f6e\uff08\u4e2a\u4f53\u6700\u4f18\uff09\u4ee5\u53ca\u6574\u4e2a\u7fa4\u4f53\u7684\u6700\u4f18\u4f4d\u7f6e\uff08\u5168\u5c40\u6700\u4f18\uff09\u4e0d\u65ad\u8c03\u6574\u81ea\u8eab\u4f4d\u7f6e\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u641c\u7d22\u8f83\u4f18\u7684\u8d85\u53c2\u6570\u7ec4\u5408\u3002PSO\u5177\u6709\u7ed3\u6784\u7b80\u5355\u3001\u5b9e\u73b0\u65b9\u4fbf\u548c\u6536\u655b\u901f\u5ea6\u8f83\u5feb\u7b49\u7279\u70b9\uff0c\u4f46\u4e5f\u53ef\u80fd\u51fa\u73b0\u8fc7\u65e9\u6536\u655b\u7684\u95ee\u9898\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>2. \u7070\u72fc\u4f18\u5316\u7b97\u6cd5\uff08GWO\uff0cGrey Wolf Optimizer\uff09<\/strong><br>GWO\u6a21\u62df\u7070\u72fc\u7fa4\u4f53\u7684\u7b49\u7ea7\u5236\u5ea6\u548c\u56f4\u6355\u730e\u7269\u884c\u4e3a\uff0c\u5c06\u72fc\u7fa4\u5212\u5206\u4e3aAlpha\u3001Beta\u3001Delta\u548cOmega\u7b49\u4e0d\u540c\u7b49\u7ea7\uff0c\u5176\u4e2dAlpha\u3001Beta\u548cDelta\u4ee3\u8868\u5f53\u524d\u641c\u7d22\u8fc7\u7a0b\u4e2d\u8f83\u4f18\u7684\u4e09\u4e2a\u89e3\uff0c\u5176\u4f59\u4e2a\u4f53\u6839\u636e\u8fd9\u4e09\u4e2a\u8f83\u4f18\u89e3\u8c03\u6574\u641c\u7d22\u4f4d\u7f6e\u3002\u672c\u6587\u5229\u7528GWO\u641c\u7d22Transformer\u7684\u8d85\u53c2\u6570\uff0c\u4f7f\u6a21\u578b\u9010\u6b65\u63a5\u8fd1\u8f83\u4f18\u7684\u53c2\u6570\u7ec4\u5408\u3002\u8be5\u7b97\u6cd5\u5177\u6709\u8f83\u597d\u7684\u5168\u5c40\u641c\u7d22\u80fd\u529b\u548c\u7a33\u5b9a\u6027\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>3. \u9cb8\u9c7c\u4f18\u5316\u7b97\u6cd5\uff08WOA\uff0cWhale Optimization Algorithm\uff09<\/strong><br>WOA\u6a21\u62df\u5ea7\u5934\u9cb8\u6355\u98df\u65f6\u7684\u56f4\u6355\u548c\u6c14\u6ce1\u7f51\u6355\u98df\u884c\u4e3a\uff0c\u901a\u8fc7\u5305\u56f4\u730e\u7269\u3001\u87ba\u65cb\u66f4\u65b0\u7b49\u673a\u5236\u641c\u7d22\u6700\u4f18\u89e3\u3002\u7b97\u6cd5\u901a\u8fc7\u4e0d\u65ad\u8c03\u6574\u5019\u9009\u89e3\u7684\u4f4d\u7f6e\u6765\u5bfb\u627e\u66f4\u4f18\u7684Transformer\u8d85\u53c2\u6570\u7ec4\u5408\u3002WOA\u5177\u6709\u8f83\u5f3a\u7684\u641c\u7d22\u80fd\u529b\uff0c\u80fd\u591f\u5728\u8f83\u5927\u7684\u53c2\u6570\u7a7a\u95f4\u4e2d\u63a2\u7d22\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u8d85\u53c2\u6570\u914d\u7f6e\uff0c\u4f46\u5176\u641c\u7d22\u8fc7\u7a0b\u4e5f\u53ef\u80fd\u5b58\u5728\u4e00\u5b9a\u7684\u4e0d\u7a33\u5b9a\u6027\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u6574\u4e2a\u65b9\u6cd5\u53ef\u4ee5\u6982\u62ec\u4e3a\uff1a<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u5386\u53f2\u4ef7\u683c\u6570\u636e \u2192 \u6570\u636e\u9884\u5904\u7406 \u2192 \u6784\u9020\u65f6\u95f4\u7a97\u53e3 \u2192 Transformer 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class=\"has-large-font-size\"><strong>\u56db\u3001\u5b9e\u9a8c<\/strong><strong><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u672c\u6587\u4f7f\u7528\u5370\u5ea6\u5317\u90e85\u4e2a\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u9a6c\u94c3\u85af\u5468\u4ef7\u683c\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u5305\u62ecDehradun\u3001Farrukhabad\u3001Ludhiana\u3001Pipli\u548cUna\uff0c\u6570\u636e\u65f6\u95f4\u8de8\u5ea6\u5927\u7ea6\u4e3a2003\u20142024\u5e74\u3002\u6570\u636e\u6309\u7167\u8bad\u7ec3\u96c6\u3001\u9a8c\u8bc1\u96c6\u548c\u6d4b\u8bd5\u96c6\u8fdb\u884c\u5212\u5206\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d90%\u7684\u6570\u636e\u7528\u4e8e\u8bad\u7ec3\uff0c\u8bad\u7ec3\u6570\u636e\u4e2d\u768420%\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u7528\u4e8e\u9a8c\u8bc1\uff0c\u6700\u540e\u7ea610%\u7684\u6570\u636e\u7528\u4e8e\u6d4b\u8bd5\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u5b9e\u9a8c\u4e3b\u8981\u91c7\u7528RMSE\u548cMAE\u8bc4\u4ef7\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u9884\u6d4b\u8bef\u5dee\uff0c\u5e76\u4e0eGARCH\u3001ANN\u3001SVM\u3001LSTM\u4ee5\u53ca\u666e\u901aTransformer\u8fdb\u884c\u6bd4\u8f83\u3002\u5b9e\u9a8c\u7ed3\u679c\u8868\u660e\uff0c\u7ecf\u8fc7\u5143\u542f\u53d1\u5f0f\u7b97\u6cd5\u4f18\u5316\u540e\uff0cTransformer\u5728\u591a\u4e2a\u5e02\u573a\u4e0a\u7684\u9884\u6d4b\u8bef\u5dee\u660e\u663e\u964d\u4f4e\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u4f8b\u5982\uff1a<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Dehradun\uff1aTransformer-WOA\u7684RMSE\u548cMAE\u5206\u522b\u4e3a63.77\u548c44.69\uff0c\u800c\u666e\u901aTransformer\u4e3a175.33\u548c135.13\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Farrukhabad\uff1aTransformer-GWO\u53d6\u5f9735.78\u7684RMSE\u548c28.27\u7684MAE\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Pipli\uff1aTransformer-WOA\u7684RMSE\u548cMAE\u5206\u522b\u4e3a60.69\u548c35.42\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure 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