{"id":5073,"date":"2026-04-18T13:52:55","date_gmt":"2026-04-18T05:52:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.15zhi.net\/blog\/?p=5073"},"modified":"2026-04-18T13:52:55","modified_gmt":"2026-04-18T05:52:55","slug":"202604-%e8%ae%ba%e6%96%87%e7%a0%94%e8%af%bb-causal-cot-causal-chain-of-thought-for-validated-reasoning","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.15zhi.net\/blog\/202604-%e8%ae%ba%e6%96%87%e7%a0%94%e8%af%bb-causal-cot-causal-chain-of-thought-for-validated-reasoning\/","title":{"rendered":"202604 \u8bba\u6587\u7814\u8bfb-Causal-CoT: Causal Chain-of-Thought for Validated Reasoning"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

\u6765\u6e90\uff1aarXiv\uff08ICLR 2026 \u6295\u7a3f\uff09<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u4f5c\u8005\uff1aGuiyao Tie, Shaohui Zhang, Chenxi Wu, Xueyang Zhou\u7b49<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u5355\u4f4d\uff1a\u9999\u6e2f\u79d1\u6280\u5927\u5b66\uff08HKUST\uff09\u53ca\u76f8\u5173\u7814\u7a76\u673a\u6784\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u56e2\u961f<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u53d1\u8868\u65f6\u95f4\uff1a 2026 \u6295\u7a3f\uff0c\u672a\u63a5\u6536<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u4e00\u3001\u8bba\u6587\u4ecb\u7ecd<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

\u80cc\u666f\uff1a\u5f53\u524d\u5927\u8bed\u8a00\u6a21\u578b\u867d\u901a\u8fc7CoT\u63d0\u5347\u4e86\u590d\u6742\u4efb\u52a1\u7684\u63a8\u7406\u80fd\u529b\uff0c\u4f46\u5176\u63a8\u7406\u8fc7\u7a0b\u7f3a\u4e4f\u56e0\u679c\u7ea6\u675f\uff0c\u5bb9\u6613\u51fa\u73b0\u8df3\u6b65\u63a8\u7406\u4e0e\u5173\u7cfb\u6df7\u6dc6\u7b49\u4e0d\u53ef\u4fe1\u95ee\u9898\uff0c\u5bfc\u81f4\u4e2d\u95f4\u63a8\u7406\u96be\u4ee5\u9a8c\u8bc1\uff0c\u9650\u5236\u4e86\u6a21\u578b\u5728\u9ad8\u53ef\u9760\u573a\u666f\u4e2d\u7684\u5e94\u7528\u3002
\u6838\u5fc3\uff1a \u9488\u5bf9\u4e0a\u8ff0\u95ee\u9898\uff0c\u8bba\u6587\u63d0\u51fa Causal-CoT \u6846\u67b6\uff0c\u521b\u65b0\u6027\u5730\u5c06\u7ebf\u6027\u63a8\u7406\u94fe\u91cd\u6784\u4e3a\u56e0\u679c\u56fe\uff08DAG\uff09\u9a71\u52a8\u7684\u7ed3\u6784\u5316\u63a8\u7406\u8fc7\u7a0b\uff0c\u5e76\u7ed3\u5408\u56fe\u589e\u5f3a\u4e0e\u57fa\u4e8e do-calculus \u7684\u5e72\u9884\u5f0f\u9a8c\u8bc1\u673a\u5236\uff0c\u5bf9\u63a8\u7406\u8fc7\u7a0b\u8fdb\u884c\u663e\u5f0f\u5efa\u6a21\u4e0e\u53ef\u9a8c\u8bc1\u63a8\u65ad\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u63d0\u5347\u63a8\u7406\u7684\u53ef\u9760\u6027\u4e0e\u53ef\u89e3\u91ca\u6027\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u4e8c\u3001\u6848\u4f8b\u5bf9\u6bd4<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

(a)\u901a\u8fc7\u201c\u70e4\u9762\u5305\u2192\u70df\u96fe\u2192\u8b66\u62a5\u201d\u4f8b\u5b50\u5bf9\u6bd4\u6807\u51c6CoT\u4e0eCausal-CoT\uff0c\u5c55\u793a\u540e\u8005\u80fd\u7ea0\u6b63\u903b\u8f91\u8c2c\u8bef\uff08\u5982\u201c\u80af\u5b9a\u540e\u4ef6\u201d\uff09\uff0c\u5b9e\u73b0\u7b54\u6848\u4e0e\u63a8\u7406\u7684\u53cc\u91cd\u9a8c\u8bc1\u3002
(b) \u5728\u6570\u5b66\u3001\u5e38\u8bc6\u3001\u56e0\u679c\u4e09\u7c7b\u6570\u636e\u96c6\u4e0a\uff0c\u5bf9\u6bd4\u4e0d\u540cLLM\u4f7f\u7528Causal-CoT\u540e\u7684\u5e73\u5747\u51c6\u786e\u7387\uff0c\u8bc1\u660e\u5176\u666e\u904d\u4f18\u4e8e\u6807\u51c6CoT\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

\u7528\u6700\u76f4\u89c2\u7684\u4f8b\u5b50\u8bf4\u660e\u52a8\u673a\u3002\u5c55\u793a\u6807\u51c6CoT\u72af\u4e86\u201c\u80af\u5b9a\u540e\u4ef6\u201d\uff08\u6709\u70df=\u6709\u706b\u707e\uff09\u7684\u903b\u8f91\u8c2c\u8bef\uff0c\u800cCausal-CoT\u901a\u8fc7\u753b\u56fe\u6392\u9664\u4e86\u865a\u5047\u8054\u7cfb\u3002
\u274c Standard CoT: \u7b54\u6848\u5bf9\uff0c\u4f46\u63a8\u7406\u5b58\u5728\u903b\u8f91\u8c2c\u8bef\uff08\u5f15\u5165\u65e0\u5173\u7684\u201c\u706b\u707e\u201d\u8282\u70b9\uff09\u3002
\u2705 Causal-CoT: \u7b54\u6848\u5bf9\uff0c\u4e14\u901a\u8fc7\u6784\u5efaDAG\u62d2\u7edd\u4e86\u865a\u5047\u56e0\u679c\u94fe\u63a5\uff0c\u5b9e\u73b0\u201c\u8fc7\u7a0b\u4e0e\u7ed3\u679c\u7684\u53cc\u91cd\u9a8c\u8bc1\u201d\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u4e09\u3001\u65b9\u6cd5\u6846\u67b6<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

\u9636\u6bb5I\u5982\u4f55\u4ece\u524d\u63d0\u548c\u5047\u8bbe\u4e2d\u63d0\u53d6\u8282\u70b9\u6784\u5efa\u521d\u59cbDAG\uff1b<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u9636\u6bb5II\u5982\u4f55\u901a\u8fc7\u5185\u90e8Prompt\u6216\u5916\u90e8\u68c0\u7d22\uff08Web\/KG\/RAG\uff09\u6765\u4e30\u5bcc\u548c\u589e\u5f3aDAG\uff08\u5982\u589e\u52a0\u4e2d\u4ecb\u53d8\u91cf\u3001\u6df7\u6742\u56e0\u7d20\uff09\uff1b<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u9636\u6bb5III\u5982\u4f55\u6839\u636e\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u8def\u5f84\u7c7b\u578b\u6267\u884cdo-\u6f14\u7b97\u8fdb\u884c\u56e0\u679c\u6548\u5e94\u4f30\u8ba1\u4e0e\u6700\u7ec8\u9a8c\u8bc1\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u56db\u3001\u5b9e\u9a8c<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

\u4e3b\u5b9e\u9a8c\u6027\u80fd\u5bf9\u6bd4\uff1a\u8be6\u7ec6\u5217\u4e3e\u4e869\u4e2a\u4ee3\u8868\u6027LLM\u5728CAUSALNET\u3001E-CARE\u3001MATH\u3001AIME\u3001CSQA\u3001GPQA\u7b497\u4e2a\u6570\u636e\u96c6\u4e0a\u7684\u51c6\u786e\u7387\u3002\u901a\u8fc7\u6570\u503c\u548c\u7ea2\u7eff\u8272\u6807\u6ce8\uff0c\u6e05\u6670\u5c55\u793a\u4e86Causal-CoT\u76f8\u6bd4\u6807\u51c6CoT\u7684\u63d0\u5347\u5e45\u5ea6\uff08\u7279\u522b\u662f\u5728GPQA\u4e0a\u5e73\u5747\u63d0\u5347\u8d8520%\uff09<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

\u51c6\u786e\u7387\u4e0e\u6548\u7387\u6743\u8861\u96f7\u8fbe\u56fe\uff1a\u6548\u7387\u6210\u672c\u6781\u4f4e\uff1a\u4ec5\u589e\u52a0 1.15x~1.35x \u8fd0\u884c\u65f6\u95f4\uff08\u865a\u7ebf\u51e0\u4e4e\u4e0d\u7f29\u6c34\uff09\u51c6\u786e\u7387\u6536\u76ca\u663e\u8457\uff1a\u5b9e\u7ebf\u5927\u9762\u79ef\u5916\u6269\u3002\u5bf9\u6bd4\u4e4b\u4e0b\uff0c\u5f15\u5165\u5916\u90e8\u68c0\u7d22\u7684\u65b9\u6cd5\uff08WS\uff09\u6548\u7387\u66b4\u8dcc\u4e14\u51c6\u786e\u7387\u4e0d\u7a33\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

\u4eba\u7c7b\u9a8c\u8bc1DAG\u7684\u9519\u8bef\u5f52\u56e0\u5206\u6790\u8868\uff1a\u0394r<0\uff1a\u90e8\u5206\u6a21\u578b\u6700\u7ec8\u51c6\u786e\u7387\u4e0b\u964d
\u0394s>0\uff1a\u4f46\u4eba\u5de5\u9a8c\u8bc1\u53d1\u73b0\uff0c\u6a21\u578b\u6784\u5efa\u7684\u56e0\u679c\u56fe\u662f\u6b63\u786e\u7684\uff01
\u6027\u80fd\u74f6\u9888\u4e0d\u5728\u4e8e\u201cCausal-CoT\u6846\u67b6\u7ed3\u6784\u201d\uff0c\u800c\u5728\u4e8e\u201cLLM\u5e95\u5c42\u7684\u4e16\u754c\u77e5\u8bc6\u4e0d\u8db3\u201d\uff0c\u8bc1\u660e\u4e86\u672c\u6846\u67b6\u7684\u53ef\u9760\u6027\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

\u4e94\u3001\u8bba\u6587\u603b\u7ed3\u548c\u5bf9\u9f50\u601d\u8003<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

\u8bba\u6587\u63d0\u51fa\u56e0\u679c\u63a8\u7406\u6846\u67b6 Causal-CoT\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u7406\u89e3\u4e3a\u5c06\u201c\u7ecf\u7edc\u2013\u514d\u75ab\u5173\u7cfb\u201d\u4ece\u89e3\u91ca\u6027\u63cf\u8ff0\u5347\u7ea7\u4e3a\u53ef\u9a8c\u8bc1\u7684\u56e0\u679c\u7ed3\u6784\uff0c\u4e3b\u8981\u5305\u62ec\u4e09\u70b9\uff1a
(1) \u56e0\u679c\u7ed3\u6784\u5efa\u6a21\uff1a\u5c06\u539f\u672c\u7528\u8bed\u8a00\u63cf\u8ff0\u7684\u63a8\u7406\u8fc7\u7a0b\uff0c\u8f6c\u5316\u4e3a\u201c\u7ecf\u7edc\u2192\u7cfb\u7edf\u2192\u514d\u75ab\u901a\u8def\u2192\u75be\u75c5\u201d\u7684\u56e0\u679c\u5173\u7cfb\u56fe\uff0c\u4f7f\u8de8\u57df\u5173\u7cfb\u4ece\u201c\u8bb2\u51fa\u6765\u201d\u53d8\u4e3a\u201c\u7ed3\u6784\u5316\u8868\u793a\u201d\uff1b
(2) \u56e0\u679c\u7ed3\u6784\u589e\u5f3a\u673a\u5236\uff1a\u9488\u5bf9\u7ecf\u7edc\u4e0e\u514d\u75ab\u4e4b\u95f4\u7f3a\u5931\u7684\u6865\u63a5\u73af\u8282\uff0c\u81ea\u52a8\u8865\u5145\u4e2d\u4ecb\u673a\u5236\uff08\u5982\u795e\u7ecf-\u514d\u75ab\u8c03\u8282\u7b49\uff09\uff0c\u4f7f\u56e0\u679c\u94fe\u66f4\u52a0\u5b8c\u6574\u5408\u7406\uff1b
(3) \u57fa\u4e8e\u5e72\u9884\u7684\u56e0\u679c\u9a8c\u8bc1\u673a\u5236\uff1a\u901a\u8fc7\u201c\u6539\u53d8\u67d0\u4e2a\u5173\u952e\u56e0\u7d20\u662f\u5426\u5f71\u54cd\u7ed3\u679c\u201d\u7684\u65b9\u5f0f\uff0c\u5bf9\u56e0\u679c\u5173\u7cfb\u8fdb\u884c\u9a8c\u8bc1\uff0c\u4f7f\u8de8\u57df\u5bf9\u9f50\u4ece\u201c\u770b\u8d77\u6765\u5408\u7406\u201d\u63d0\u5347\u4e3a\u201c\u56e0\u679c\u4e0a\u6210\u7acb\u201d\uff1b<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u6280\u672f\u521b\u65b0\u2014\u2014\u903b\u8f91\u601d\u7ef4\u63a8\u7406\u6846\u67b6\uff1a\u501f\u9274 Causal-CoT \u5c06\u7ebf\u6027\u63a8\u7406\u94fe\u91cd\u6784\u4e3a\u56e0\u679c\u56fe\uff08DAG\uff09\u7684\u601d\u60f3\uff0c\u53ef\u5728\u73b0\u6709\u201c\u7ecf\u7edc\u94fe + \u514d\u75ab\u94fe\u201d\u7684\u57fa\u7840\u4e0a\uff0c\u5f15\u5165\u663e\u5f0f\u56e0\u679c\u7ed3\u6784\u7ea6\u675f\uff1a\u5728\u878d\u5408\u9636\u6bb5\u524d\uff0c\u5c06\u4e24\u6761\u94fe\u7edf\u4e00\u6620\u5c04\u4e3a\u56e0\u679c\u7ed3\u6784\uff08\u5982\u201c\u7ecf\u7edc\u2192\u7cfb\u7edf\u2192\u901a\u8def\u2192\u708e\u75c7\u201d\uff09\uff0c\u5e76\u5bf9\u5173\u952e\u8def\u5f84\u8fdb\u884c\u7ed3\u6784\u4e00\u81f4\u6027\u5bf9\u9f50\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u907f\u514d\u5f53\u524d\u4ec5\u57fa\u4e8e\u8bc1\u636e\u6743\u91cd\u878d\u5408\u5e26\u6765\u7684\u201c\u8bed\u4e49\u5bf9\u9f50\u4f46\u56e0\u679c\u4e0d\u4e00\u81f4\u201d\u95ee\u9898\uff0c\u5b9e\u73b0\u4ece\u201c\u94fe\u7ea7\u878d\u5408\u201d\u5411\u201c\u7ed3\u6784\u7ea7\u5bf9\u9f50\u201d\u7684\u5347\u7ea7\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n


\u6280\u672f\u76ee\u6807\u2014\u2014\u8de8\u57df\u77e5\u8bc6\u7ed3\u6784\u5bf9\u6bd4\uff1a\u53c2\u8003 Causal-CoT \u7684\u56fe\u589e\u5f3a\u673a\u5236\uff0c\u53ef\u5c06\u73b0\u6709\u9010\u8fb9\u8bc1\u636e\u5339\u914d\u65b9\u5f0f\u5347\u7ea7\u4e3a\u8de8\u57df\u56e0\u679c\u8def\u5f84\u8865\u5168\uff1a\u5728\u201c\u514d\u75ab\u56e0\u5b50\u2192\u75be\u75c5\u201d\u4e0e\u201c\u7ecf\u7edc\u8bc1\u578b\u2192\u75be\u75c5\u201d\u4e4b\u95f4\uff0c\u4e3b\u52a8\u5f15\u5165\u4e2d\u4ecb\u673a\u5236\uff08\u5982\u795e\u7ecf-\u514d\u75ab\u8c03\u8282\u3001\u5fae\u5faa\u73af\u53d8\u5316\u7b49\uff09\uff0c\u6784\u5efa\u201c\u7ecf\u7edc\u2192\u4e2d\u4ecb\u2192\u514d\u75ab\u201d\u7684\u6865\u63a5\u8def\u5f84\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u63d0\u5347\u8de8\u57df\u5bf9\u9f50\u7684\u5b8c\u6574\u6027\u4e0e\u751f\u7269\u5b66\u5408\u7406\u6027\uff0c\u4f7f\u5bf9\u9f50\u4e0d\u518d\u505c\u7559\u5728\u8868\u5c42\u6982\u5ff5\u8fde\u63a5\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u5efa\u7acb\u5728\u5171\u4eab\u56e0\u679c\u673a\u5236\u4e4b\u4e0a\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n


\u573a\u666f\u529f\u80fd\u2014\u2014\u98df\u517b\u901a\uff1a\u501f\u9274\u4e86 Causal-CoT \u4e2d\u201c\u56e0\u679c\u7ed3\u6784\u5efa\u6a21 + \u5e72\u9884\u9a8c\u8bc1\u201d \u7684\u601d\u60f3\uff0c\u628a\u539f\u6765\u201c\u5403\u4ec0\u4e48\u5bf9\u8eab\u4f53\u597d\u201d\u7684\u7ecf\u9a8c\u63a8\u8350\uff0c\u53d8\u6210\u201c\u5403\u8fd9\u4e2a\u662f\u901a\u8fc7\u4ec0\u4e48\u673a\u5236\u8d77\u4f5c\u7528\u3001\u771f\u7684\u80fd\u4e0d\u80fd\u6539\u5584\u72b6\u6001\u201d\u7684\u53ef\u9a8c\u8bc1\u8c03\u7406\u65b9\u6848\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u6765\u6e90\uff1aarXiv\uff08ICLR 2026 \u6295\u7a3f\uff09 \u4f5c\u8005\uff1aGuiyao Tie, Shaohui Zhang, Ch […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":61,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-5073","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-events"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.15zhi.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5073","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.15zhi.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.15zhi.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.15zhi.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/61"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.15zhi.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=5073"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.15zhi.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5073\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":5079,"href":"https:\/\/www.15zhi.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5073\/revisions\/5079"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.15zhi.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=5073"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.15zhi.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=5073"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.15zhi.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=5073"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}